All we need is Boone’s game prediction to come to fruition () and to not play down to competition for the rest of the season.
This seems like the right thread for this:
Does this now mean Ed Oregon will be given credit for the LSU passing attack?
Not much movement for us this week at all. K-State will be the best defense we’ve faced according to the smart guys.
Here’s a cool chart from reddit that takes the SP+ rankings and projects records (explanation and links to other teams here):
You beat me to it Doug. I love this chart.
So I don’t have to wade into reddit every week? I can just wait around here for you to post it in this thread?
Picks
SP+: OSU 32-25 (66% chance of a win)
FEI: OSU by 15 (77% chance of a win)
Sagarin: OSU by 10
Vegas: OSU by 10
Correct me if I’m wrong, but SP+ doesn’t factor in the loss of the qb does it? That’s the score assuming Alan Bowman is playing?
correct, the system does not take injuries/suspensions/etc into account
When’s the last year Tech’s defense had a better ranking in SP+ than their offense? Ever?
Most likely outcomes:
7 wins 34%
8 wins 30%
6 wins 18%
9 wins 12%
Iowa State and Baylor all of a sudden look like difficult games coming up, which is laughable, but whatever…
Predictions
Vegas: Pokes by 3.5
SP+: Baylor 30, OSU 29
Sagarin: Pokes by 2
FEI: Baylor by 7 (!)
You forgot to look at the uni/homecoming factor (painstakingly calculated). Pokes by 14.
Most likely outcomes now according to SP+:
7 wins 39%
6 wins 32%
8 wins 17%
5 wins 9%
Predictions:
Vegas: ISU by 10.5
SP+: ISU by 8, 32% chance of win
FEI: ISU by 19 (!!); 17% chance of a win
Sagarin: ISU by 8
Somebody take Dave’s graphs away.
It would be harder than convincing Gundy to quit calling the fade