Advanced stat rankings update

All we need is Boone’s game prediction to come to fruition (:pray:) and to not play down to competition for the rest of the season.

This seems like the right thread for this:

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Does this now mean Ed Oregon will be given credit for the LSU passing attack?

Not much movement for us this week at all. K-State will be the best defense we’ve faced according to the smart guys.

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Here’s a cool chart from reddit that takes the SP+ rankings and projects records (explanation and links to other teams here):

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You beat me to it Doug. I love this chart.

So I don’t have to wade into reddit every week? I can just wait around here for you to post it in this thread? :+1:

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Picks
SP+: OSU 32-25 (66% chance of a win)
FEI: OSU by 15 (77% chance of a win)
Sagarin: OSU by 10
Vegas: OSU by 10

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Correct me if I’m wrong, but SP+ doesn’t factor in the loss of the qb does it? That’s the score assuming Alan Bowman is playing?

correct, the system does not take injuries/suspensions/etc into account

When’s the last year Tech’s defense had a better ranking in SP+ than their offense? Ever?

BZOgrHk_d

Most likely outcomes:
7 wins 34%
8 wins 30%
6 wins 18%
9 wins 12%

Iowa State and Baylor all of a sudden look like difficult games coming up, which is laughable, but whatever…

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Predictions
Vegas: Pokes by 3.5
SP+: Baylor 30, OSU 29
Sagarin: Pokes by 2
FEI: Baylor by 7 (!)

You forgot to look at the uni/homecoming factor (painstakingly calculated). Pokes by 14. :yum:

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Most likely outcomes now according to SP+:
7 wins 39%
6 wins 32%
8 wins 17%
5 wins 9%

IMG_2423

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Predictions:
Vegas: ISU by 10.5
SP+: ISU by 8, 32% chance of win
FEI: ISU by 19 (!!); 17% chance of a win
Sagarin: ISU by 8

Somebody take Dave’s graphs away.

It would be harder than convincing Gundy to quit calling the fade

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