Originally published at: Fornelli Pours Some Cold Water on the Drew Mestemaker Hype Train
‘I understand that kid put up numbers at North Texas, but like, it’s a different league that he’s playing in now.’
I’m optimistic about Mestemaker. HOWEVER, it is true his level of competition has not been the same at NT as it will be in the Big 12 and with Oregon coming to town. I am curious to see how he and the receivers do when Big 12 defensive coordinators game plan against him to highlight his weaknesses and take away his strengths. I feel the same way about all those NT players. Are they ready for the big time or not? Especially the mediocre defense that came up from NT. What will Big 12 offensive coordinators do with that bunch? I’m hoping for the best. We will get a partial answer in less than four weeks.
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I think the “jump in competition” thing is going to be overblown, but overall, correct. I think his numbers will regress and he probably won’t be as highly regarded nationwide with those other guys that were mentioned by the time the season ends, but he’ll be a top Big XII QB, at least top third of the league.
You do have guys like Colt Brennan and Case Keenum that clearly feasted on weaker competition, were system guys, and were big fish in small pond types and their numbers were inflated and gaudy, but Case did have real NFL talent. Then you have your Josh Allens who are bona fide superstars playing low level ball and their talent was probably greater than their numbers and they were held back a bit. I think Keenum is probably the best comparison for Mestemaker. He has talent, it’s a little statistically inflated, but he could probably make it in the NFL as an average starter or a really good backup.